Determining significant factors associated with daily COVID-19 cases within three social distancing regimes

Autor: Putri Wulandari, Andika, Halmar Halide
Jazyk: English<br />Spanish; Castilian
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Gaceta Sanitaria, Vol 35, Iss , Pp S455-S458 (2021)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 0213-9111
06249477
DOI: 10.1016/j.gaceta.2021.07.024
Popis: Objective: The COVID-19 pandemic put enormous socio-economic pressures on most countries all over the world. In order to contain the spread of the coronavirus, governments implemented both pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions. This simple modeling work aims to quantify the effect of three levels of social distancing and large-scale testing on daily COVID-19 cases in Malaysia, Republic of Korea, and Japan. Method: The model uses a Stepwise Multiple Regression (SWMR) method for selecting lagged mobility index and testing correlated with daily cases based on a 0.05 level of significance. Result: The models's predictability ranges are from 75% to 92%. It is also found that the mobility index plays a more important role, in comparison to testing rates, in determining daily confirmed cases. Conclusion: Behavioral changes that support physical distancing measures should be practiced to slow down the COVID-19 spreads.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals