The impact of temperature, population size and median age on COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak

Autor: Kushan Tharuka Lulbadda, Dhanushka Kobbekaduwa, Malika Lakmali Guruge
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health, Vol 9, Iss , Pp 231-236 (2021)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2213-3984
DOI: 10.1016/j.cegh.2020.09.004
Popis: Objectives: This study aims to explore the association between the spread of COVID-19 and external parameters. In this regard, temperature, population size, median age, and health care facilities of 58 different countries are considered as external factors. Methods: A negative binomial regression model was fitted to identify the associations between the factors and cases of COVID-19 during the study periods. Results: The temperature, population size, and median age are positively associated with the spreading rate of COVID-19. There is no evidence supporting that case counts of COVID-19 could decline in countries with better health care facilities. Also, an empirical model was presented to estimate the number of cases within a country using the external parameters. Conclusions: It is impossible to express the change in the number of cases for a unit increase in each of the variables because a change in a single variable depends on different values of other variables. However, the findings of this study provide useful implications for the authorities and decision-makers to take specific precautionary measures.
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