Analyzing the Growth of Land and Housing Prices and their Relationship with Some Macroeconomic Variables in Iran

Autor: Abbas Shakeri, Elnaz Bagherpur Oskouie
Jazyk: perština
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Faslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī, Vol 22, Iss 87, Pp 7-38 (2022)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1735-210X
2476-6453
DOI: 10.22054/joer.2023.74291.1139
Popis: This study utilizes the continuous wavelet transform approach and time-frequency domain analysis to shed new light on the causal relationship between land, housing prices, liquidity , and economic growth. According to the results of the research: 1) In the short term (12-month cycle), the relationship between housing/land prices and liquidity is two-way and direct, while in lower frequencies (long-term), a direct causal relationship from liquidity to the growth of housing/land prices is evident. 2) Analysing the dynamics of the causal relationship between housing/land prices and economic growthindicates a long-term causal relationship between these variables. 3) In the medium and long term, a stable, strong, and in-phase relationship exists between the ratio of liquidity to GDP and the ratio of the housing price index to the price index. This implies that when the liquidity-to-GDP ratio increases, leading to a higher influx of liquidity into the land and housing sector, the housing price index surpasses the overall price index.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals