Kalman Filters for Estimating the potential GDP

Autor: Sorin VLAD, Ionut BALAN
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2018
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Applied Computer Science & Mathematics, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 39-43 (2018)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2066-4273
2066-3129
26487454
DOI: 10.4316/JACSM.201801006
Popis: The estimation of the potential GDP has a twofold importance: on one hand its accurate estimation allows the correct dimensioning of the macroeconomic policies and on the other hand, the study of potential GDP is a research activity allowing a deeper understanding of the economy works. The methods of estimating the potential GDP can be divided into two categories: statistical and structural. Because the potential GDP is unobservable and cannot be derived directly from the statistical data, we used the Kalman Filter (KF) algorithm to estimate it using a model that connects the unobserved with the observed variables. The results were compared to those obtained by applying a Hodrick – Prescott (HP) filter.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals