Mathematical model to mitigate planning fallacy and to determine realistic delivery time

Autor: S. Yamini, Rahul R. Marathe
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2018
Předmět:
Zdroj: IIMB Management Review, Vol 30, Iss 3, Pp 242-257 (2018)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 0970-3896
DOI: 10.1016/j.iimb.2018.05.003
Popis: Planning fallacy is the tendency to underestimate the duration of a task due to the optimistic bias of individuals. We design a mechanism from the principal's perspective (an original equipment manufacturer (OEM)) to mitigate the optimistic bias of agents (a contract manufacturer (CM) and a supplier) in a serial supply chain. The OEM determines the deadline of agents by explicitly factoring the agent's planning fallacy in the model through the cost under-estimation factor. Further, we prove that threshold based incentives are better than lump-sum bonus to motivate the supplier and the CM to mitigate procrastination of task. Keywords: Planning fallacy, Procrastination, Optimistic bias, Behavioural operations
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals