| Autor: |
Lejia Sun, Xin Ji, Dongyue Wang, Ai Guan, Yao Xiao, Haifeng Xu, Shunda Du, Yiyao Xu, Haitao Zhao, Xin Lu, Xinting Sang, Shouxian Zhong, Huayu Yang, Yilei Mao |
| Jazyk: |
angličtina |
| Rok vydání: |
2020 |
| Předmět: |
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| Zdroj: |
BMC Cancer, Vol 20, Iss 1, Pp 1-14 (2020) |
| Druh dokumentu: |
article |
| ISSN: |
1471-2407 |
| DOI: |
10.1186/s12885-020-07496-8 |
| Popis: |
Abstract Background Serum lipids were reported to be the prognostic factors of various cancers, but their prognostic value in malignant biliary tumor (MBT) patients remains unclear. Thus we aim to assess and compare prognosis values of different serum lipids, and construct a novel prognostic nomogram based on serum lipids. Methods Patients with a confirmed diagnosis of MBT at our institute from 2003 to 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. Prognosis-related factors were identified via univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Then the novel prognostic nomogram and a 3-tier staging system were constructed based on these factors and further compared to the TNM staging system. Results A total of 368 patients were included in this study. Seven optimal survival-related factors—TC/HDL > 10.08, apolipoprotein B > 0.9 g/L, lipoprotein> 72 mg/L, lymph node metastasis, radical cure, CA199 > 37 U/mL, and tumor differentiation —were included to construct the prognostic nomogram. The C-indexes in training and validation sets were 0.738 and 0.721, respectively. Besides, ROC curves, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis all suggested favorable discrimination and predictive ability. The nomogram also performed better predictive ability than the TNM system and nomogram without lipid parameters. And the staging system based on nomogram also presented better discriminative ability than TNM system (P |
| Databáze: |
Directory of Open Access Journals |
| Externí odkaz: |
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