| Popis: |
The analysis of load characteristics is the basis and premise of load actively participating in power grid regulation. This paper proposes a multi-factor load classification method considering the load of clean energy power generation, the rapidity of load classification, and various subjective and objective factors that may affect the behavior of load consumption. First, it describes the characteristic index of load consumption behavior and analyzes the subjective and objective factors that affect the power grid consumption behavior. The effect of clean energy generation on load side is considered. Based on the load characteristics, the K-means algorithm is used for main clustering. Then, the confidence level of the uncertainty of the actual load adjustable capacity is analyzed by quantifying the load adjustable potential index and the fuzzy C-means clustering method was used for secondary clustering of the adjustable capacity. Finally, DBI and SC indexes are used to evaluate the clustering results, standard values of evaluation indexes are set, and unqualified clustering results are recalculated and corrected. 31 industrial users in a province are selected as research objects, and the load data of the past 365 days are collected to verify the effectiveness and practicability of the proposed method. The classification results show that the classification accuracy is still good when the noise is 30%, and the maximum deviation between the clustering results and the actual load regulation potential is 12%. It can meet the actual engineering error standard. |
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