Ten Things You Should Know about the Dynamic Conditional Correlation Representation

Autor: Massimiliano Caporin, Michael McAleer
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2013
Předmět:
Zdroj: Econometrics, Vol 1, Iss 1, Pp 115-126 (2013)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2225-1146
DOI: 10.3390/econometrics1010115
Popis: The purpose of the paper is to discuss ten things potential users should know about the limits of the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) representation for estimating and forecasting time-varying conditional correlations. The reasons given for caution about the use of DCC include the following: DCC represents the dynamic conditional covariances of the standardized residuals, and hence does not yield dynamic conditional correlations; DCC is stated rather than derived; DCC has no moments; DCC does not have testable regularity conditions; DCC yields inconsistent two step estimators; DCC has no asymptotic properties; DCC is not a special case of Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Correlation (GARCC), which has testable regularity conditions and standard asymptotic properties; DCC is not dynamic empirically as the effect of news is typically extremely small; DCC cannot be distinguished empirically from diagonal Baba, Engle, Kraft and Kroner (BEKK) in small systems; and DCC may be a useful filter or a diagnostic check, but it is not a model.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals