Fractional Modelling and Optimal Control of COVID-19 Transmission in Portugal

Autor: Silvério Rosa, Delfim F. M. Torres
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Axioms, Vol 11, Iss 4, p 170 (2022)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2075-1680
DOI: 10.3390/axioms11040170
Popis: A fractional-order compartmental model was recently used to describe real data of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Portugal [Chaos Solitons Fractals 144 (2021), Art. 110652]. Here, we modify that model in order to correct time dimensions and use it to investigate the third wave of COVID-19 that occurred in Portugal from December 2020 to February 2021, and that has surpassed all previous waves, both in number and consequences. A new fractional optimal control problem is then formulated and solved, with vaccination and preventive measures as controls. A cost-effectiveness analysis is carried out, and the obtained results are discussed.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals
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