Comparison of the 2021 COVID-19 roadmap projections against public health data in England

Autor: Matt J. Keeling, Louise Dyson, Michael J. Tildesley, Edward M. Hill, Samuel Moore
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Nature Communications, Vol 13, Iss 1, Pp 1-19 (2022)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-31991-0
Popis: The ’Roadmap’ for relaxation of COVID-19 restrictions in England in 2021 was informed by mathematical modelling. Here, the authors perform a retrospective assessment of the accuracy of modelling predictions and identify the main sources of uncertainty that led to observed values deviating from projections.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals