Recognition of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia among Myocoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in hospitalized children: development and validation of a predictive nomogram model

Autor: Meng Li, Xiang Wei, Shan-Shan Zhang, Shan Li, Su-Hong Chen, Su-Jie Shi, Shao-Hong Zhou, Da-Quan Sun, Qian-Ye Zhao, Yan Xu
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: BMC Pulmonary Medicine, Vol 23, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2023)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1471-2466
DOI: 10.1186/s12890-023-02684-1
Popis: Abstract Backgroud The current diagnostic criteria for refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP) among Mycoplasma pneumoniae Pneumonia (MPP) are insufficient for early identification, and potentially delayed appropriate treatment. This study aimed to develop an effective individualized diagnostic prediction nomogram for pediatric RMPP. Methods A total of 517 hospitalized children with MPP, including 131 with RMPP and 386 without RMPP (non-RMPP), treated at Lianyungang Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital from January 2018 to December 2021 were retrospectively enrolled as a development (modeling) cohort to construct an RMPP prediction nomogram. Additionally, 322 pediatric patients with MPP (64 with RMPP and 258 with non-RMPP, who were treated at the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from June 2020 to May 2022 were retrospectively enrolled as a validation cohort to assess the prediction accuracy of model. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify RMPP risk factors among patients with MPP. Nomogram were generated based on these risk factors using the rms package of R, and the predictive performance was evaluated based on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and using decision curve analysis (DCA). Results Multivariate analysis revealed five significant independent predictors of RMPP among patients with MPP: age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08–1.33, P = 0.038), fever duration (HR 1.34, 95%CI 1.20–1.50, P
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