The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the 'Running Tally' Approach in Latin America
Autor: | Benjamín Temkin Yedwab, Gerardo Isaac Cisneros Yescas |
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Jazyk: | English<br />Spanish; Castilian<br />Portuguese |
Rok vydání: | 2018 |
Předmět: | |
Zdroj: | Colombia Internacional, Vol 96, Pp 3-27 (2018) |
Druh dokumentu: | article |
ISSN: | 0121-5612 1900-6004 |
DOI: | 10.7440/colombiaint96.2018.01 |
Popis: | This article presents an analytical extension to Fiorina’s “running tally” approach to party identification through empirical testing using Latin American data, in order to include partisan independence as a possible outcome of negative retrospective evaluations of governmental performance. Voters who evaluate government performance more negatively have a higher propensity to not identify with any political party. An instrumental probit model shows that, when controlling for the possible inverse causality between partisan independence and a negative assessment of government performance, the latter variable provides the strongest prediction of the lack of partisan identification in comparison with sociological, cultural, modernization and political-institutional variables. A theoretical explanation is offered based on the “principal-agent” model. |
Databáze: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
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