The Road to Partisan Independence: An Extension and Empirical Test of the 'Running Tally' Approach in Latin America

Autor: Benjamín Temkin Yedwab, Gerardo Isaac Cisneros Yescas
Jazyk: English<br />Spanish; Castilian<br />Portuguese
Rok vydání: 2018
Předmět:
Zdroj: Colombia Internacional, Vol 96, Pp 3-27 (2018)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 0121-5612
1900-6004
DOI: 10.7440/colombiaint96.2018.01
Popis: This article presents an analytical extension to Fiorina’s “running tally” approach to party identification through empirical testing using Latin American data, in order to include partisan independence as a possible outcome of negative retrospective evaluations of governmental performance. Voters who evaluate government performance more negatively have a higher propensity to not identify with any political party. An instrumental probit model shows that, when controlling for the possible inverse causality between partisan independence and a negative assessment of government performance, the latter variable provides the strongest prediction of the lack of partisan identification in comparison with sociological, cultural, modernization and political-institutional variables. A theoretical explanation is offered based on the “principal-agent” model.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals