Influence of weather on a population of soprano pipistrelle bats in West Wales, UK: a 20 year study estimates population viability

Autor: Andrews, PT, Crump, RG, Harries, DJ, Andrews, MM
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
Zdroj: Endangered Species Research, Vol 30, Pp 19-28 (2016)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1863-5407
1613-4796
DOI: 10.3354/esr00720
Popis: A nursery roost of the soprano pipstrelle bat Pipistrellus pygmaeus has been monitored continuously between 1 April and 27 September (Weeks 1-26) for 20 yr to promote conservation of the species, which declined over the last century. The long-term study, essential to estimate a reliable population trend, is linked to environmental changes as possible causes of decline. The main emergence was from May to July (Weeks 6-18) when 550 ± 190 (SD) P. pygmaeus were counted. Analysis showed that the year-to-year change in population size of female P. pygmaeus (ΔN) and the time of the peak exit count of the females from the roost in May to June could be predicted from the integrated air temperature (degree days, D) between 1 January and 31 March. The regression of ΔN on D showed a statistically significant linear regression line defined by ΔN = 1.31-0.0015 D (R2 = 38.4%; p = 0.005). ΔN = 1.04 to 1.33 reflected a stable to increasing population (Years 1-7 and 15-20). ΔN = 0.78 to 1.00 reflected a stable to decreasing population (Years 8-14). The regression of the time of the first peak exit count, calculated as the number of weeks from 1 April, on D showed a statistically significant linear regression line defined by Weeks = 12.75-0.020 D (R2 = 32.8%; p = 0.008). Rising temperatures between January and March would be detrimental to P. pygmaeus populations.
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