Brief Communication: An update of the article 'Modelling flood damages under climate change conditions – a case study for Germany'

Autor: F. F. Hattermann, S. Huang, O. Burghoff, P. Hoffmann, Z. W. Kundzewicz
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
Zdroj: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol 16, Iss 7, Pp 1617-1622 (2016)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1561-8633
1684-9981
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-16-1617-2016
Popis: In our first study on possible flood damages under climate change in Germany, we reported that a considerable increase in flood-related losses can be expected in a future warmer climate. However, the general significance of the study was limited by the fact that outcome of only one global climate model (GCM) was used as a large-scale climate driver, while many studies report that GCMs are often the largest source of uncertainty in impact modelling. Here we show that a much broader set of global and regional climate model combinations as climate drivers show trends which are in line with the original results and even give a stronger increase of damages.
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