The Rise of Alternative Presidential Candidates in Chile, 2009-2017

Autor: Patricio Daniel Navia, Lucas Perelló
Jazyk: English<br />Spanish; Castilian<br />Portuguese
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública, Vol 9, Iss 2, Pp 81-109 (2020)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1852-9003
2660-700X
DOI: 10.14201/rlop.23628
Popis: This article explores the growing popularity of alternative presidential candidates — those from outside the two dominant coalitions — in Chile from 2009 to 2017. Following a theoretical discussion that focuses on the causes of voter discontent with the political establishment, we formulate four hypotheses. We view support for alternative presidential candidates as a function of ideological detachment, declining political engagement, the economic vote, and socio-demographic shifts in the electorate. We use three pre-electoral Centro de Estudios Públicos surveys to present probit models and predicted probabilities. Our findings suggest that a distinct segment of Chilean voters is behind the rise of alternative presidential candidates. Younger and more educated voters who identify less with the traditional left-right ideological scale and political parties and suffer from economic anxiety—viewing the economy as performing well nationally while remaining pessimistic about their financial prospects—comprise this subgroup.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals