| Autor: |
Mahmoud Mohammed Alderiny, Khalid Nahar Alrwis, Sharafaldin Bakri Ahmed, Nageeb Mohammed Aldawdahi |
| Jazyk: |
angličtina |
| Rok vydání: |
2020 |
| Předmět: |
|
| Zdroj: |
Journal of the Saudi Society of Agricultural Sciences, Vol 19, Iss 4, Pp 306-312 (2020) |
| Druh dokumentu: |
article |
| ISSN: |
1658-077X |
| DOI: |
10.1016/j.jssas.2019.09.001 |
| Popis: |
This research interested in forecasting Saudi production and imports of broiler meat chicken and compute expected self-sufficiency ratio to the period 2017–2021. The study depended on the time series data, VARX (1) model with non-intercept at the first difference was suggested to forecast imports and ARIMA (0,1,1) model to forecast production. The results showed that predicated imports from Brazil decreased by annual growth rate 0.52%, and other countries also decreased by annual growth rate 0.20%. The production increasing by annual growth rate 4.2%, expected self-sufficiency ratio increase from 52.9% in 2017 to 57.4% in 2021 by annual growth 2.09%. |
| Databáze: |
Directory of Open Access Journals |
| Externí odkaz: |
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