Low-intensity anomaly involving ML≥4 events preceding strong earthquakes in Tibet

Autor: Jinrui Gao, Ye Zhu, Yingfeng Ji, Weiling Zhu, Rui Qu, Jiaji Li, Liang Xu, Chaodi Xie
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: Frontiers in Earth Science, Vol 11 (2023)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2296-6463
DOI: 10.3389/feart.2023.1043468
Popis: Seismic quiescence or enhanced phenomena are anomalous changes against the background of normal seismic activity. Preliminary studies have found that earthquakes with a magnitude of ML≥4 often occur at a low occurrence frequency before giant earthquakes in Tibet. This study analyzed the catalog of ML≥4 earthquakes from 2008 to 2022 and examined the anomalous occurrence of ML≥4 earthquakes preceding most ML≥6 earthquakes. When the monthly occurrence frequency of ML≥4 earthquakes was lower than 4 times over six consecutive months, the subsequent occurrence of ML≥6 earthquakes was highly likely as evidenced by observations. The anomalous characteristics of low-intensity activities were analyzed as a medium- and short-term forecasting index for large earthquakes in the Tibetan area.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals