Do farmers care about climate change? Evidence from five major grain producing areas of China

Autor: Chun-xiao SONG, Rui-feng LIU, Les Oxley, Heng-yun MA
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Integrative Agriculture, Vol 18, Iss 6, Pp 1402-1414 (2019)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2095-3119
DOI: 10.1016/S2095-3119(19)62687-0
Popis: Using a logistic model, this paper empirically investigated farmers' perception of climate change and its determinants based on a field survey of 1 350 rural households across five major grain producing provinces in China. The results show: i) There is an apparent difference in perception levels for long-term temperature and precipitation changes. Specifically, 57.4% of farmers perceived the long-term temperature change correctly, but only 29.7% of farmers perceived the long-term precipitation change correctly; ii) The factors influencing the farmers' perceptions are almost completely different between precipitation and temperature, the former are mostly agriculture related, while latter are mostly non-agriculture related, except for farm size; and iii) Farmers are not expected to pay more attention to long-term precipitation changes over the crop growing seasons, because less than 30% of farmers can correctly perceive long-term precipitation change. Therefore, to improve the accuracy of farmers' perceptions of climate change, the government is recommended to: i) enhance education and training programs; ii) speed up land transfer and expand household land farm size; iii) develop farmer cooperative organizations; iv) invest more in agricultural infrastructure, specifically in major grain producing regions; and v) improve the agricultural environment and increase farming income.
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