Modelling structural breaks in social cash transfers effects on poverty and inequality reduction in Africa: A case of Nigeria

Autor: Rufus Adebayo Ajisafe, Solomon Oluwaseun Okunade, Musbau Olaniyan Fatai
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Scientific African, Vol 23, Iss , Pp e02106- (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2468-2276
DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2024.e02106
Popis: Poverty and inequality have become persistent challenges, hindering sustainable growth in African countries. Against this backdrop, the Nigerian government introduced social cash transfer (SCT) programmes to provide targeted financial assistance to vulnerable populations and foster inclusive social welfare. However, the impact has been somewhat indefinable given the continued increase in poverty and inequality levels in Nigeria. Thus, this present study focuses on the effect of SCT on poverty, inequality, and macroeconomic instability in Nigeria using secondary data for the periods of 1984 to 2021. The results of the Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares with structural breaks showed that SCT reduced poverty and inequality levels, but increased macroeconomic instability in Nigeria; however, when we considered the institutional peculiarities (control of corruption and accountability in the public sector), the findings showed that SCT increased poverty level in Nigeria. We report other significant findings that are instructive to policymaking and future research.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals