Autor: |
Andika, P. Wulandari, Halmar Halide |
Jazyk: |
English<br />Spanish; Castilian |
Rok vydání: |
2021 |
Předmět: |
|
Zdroj: |
Gaceta Sanitaria, Vol 35, Iss , Pp S103-S106 (2021) |
Druh dokumentu: |
article |
ISSN: |
0213-9111 |
DOI: |
10.1016/j.gaceta.2021.10.007 |
Popis: |
Objective: The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted people's normal life as a result of strict policies applied to slow down the pandemic. To find out how extensive the virus spread is, most countries increase their daily testing rates. Method: This simple modelling work uses stringency index and daily testing (including the lagged version up to the previous 14 days) to predict daily COVID-19 cases in India and Indonesia. A Stepwise Multiple Regression (SWMR) subroutine is used in this modelling to select factors based on a 0.01 significant level affecting daily COVID-19 cases before the epidemic peaks. Result: The models have high predictability close to 94% (Indonesia) and 99% (India). Increasing number of daily COVID-19 cases in Indonesia is associated with the country's increased testing capacity. On the other hand, stringency indices play more important role in determining India's daily COVID-19 cases. Cloclusion: Our finding shows that one question remains to be answered as to why testing and strict policy differ in determining daily cases in both Asian countries. |
Databáze: |
Directory of Open Access Journals |
Externí odkaz: |
|