Geographical Trapping of Synchronous Extremes Amidst Increasing Variability of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall

Autor: Danish Tantary, Arun K. Tangirala, Raghu Murthugudde, Subimal Ghosh, Rohini Kumar, Udit Bhatia
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol 50, Iss 22, Pp n/a-n/a (2023)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1944-8007
0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2023GL104788
Popis: Abstract Concurrent extreme rainfall events, or synchronous extremes, during Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR), cause significant damage, but their spatiotemporal evolution remains unclear. Using the event synchronization approach to examine the synchronicity of extreme rainfall events from 1901 to 2019, we find that Central India consistently hosts strongly connected synchronous extreme hubs with localized connections, indicating the geographical trapping of these concurrent events in the region. We observe a moderate positive correlation between network cohesiveness and El Niño Southern Oscillations (ENSO), and a negative correlation between ENSO and link lengths, suggesting localized synchronicity during El Niño dominant decades and opposite patterns in La Niña periods. Despite increasing ISMR variability and spatial nonuniformity, the persistence of hubs and network attributes could offer insights for predicting synchronous extremes, informing effective adaptation and risk management strategies during the monsoon season.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals
Externí odkaz: