Prediction of University-Level Academic Performance through Machine Learning Mechanisms and Supervised Methods

Autor: Leonardo Emiro Contreras Bravo, Nayibe Nieves-Pimiento, Karolina Gonzalez-Guerrero
Jazyk: Spanish; Castilian
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Ingeniería, Vol 28, Iss 1, Pp e19514-e19514 (2022)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 0121-750X
2344-8393
23448393
DOI: 10.14483/23448393.19514
Popis: Context: In the education sector, variables have been identified which considerably affect students’ academic performance. In the last decade, research has been carried out from various fields such as psychology, statistics, and data analytics in order to predict academic performance. Method: Data analytics, especially through Machine Learning tools, allows predicting academic performance using supervised learning algorithms based on academic, demographic, and sociodemographic variables. In this work, the most influential variables in the course of students’ academic life are selected through wrapping, embedded, filter, and assembler methods, as well as the most important characteristics semester by semester using Machine Learning algorithms (Decision Trees, KNN, SVC, Naive Bayes, LDA), which were implemented using the Python language. Results: The results of the study show that the KNN is the model that best predicts academic performance for each of the semesters, followed by Decision Trees, with precision values that oscillate around 80 and 78,5% in some semesters. Conclusions: Regarding the variables, it cannot be said that a student’s per-semester academic average necessarily influences the prediction of academic performance for the next semester. The analysis of these results indicates that the prediction of academic performance using Machine Learning tools is a promising approach that can help improve students’ academic life allow institutions and teachers to take actions that contribute to the teaching-learning process.
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