Government Interventions and Sovereign Bond Market Volatility during COVID-19: A Quantile Analysis

Autor: Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu, Eugenia Grecu
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: Mathematics, Vol 11, Iss 5, p 1171 (2023)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2227-7390
DOI: 10.3390/math11051171
Popis: We test the interaction between governments’ COVID-19 interventions, COVID-19-induced uncertainty, and the volatility of sovereign bonds. Different from previous literature, we investigate the asymmetric response of bond market volatility to both governmental interventions and COVID-19-induced uncertainty. With a focus on the first waves of the pandemic and using a panel quantile approach and a comprehensive dataset of 31 countries worldwide, we document that containment and closure policies tend to amplify volatility. Furthermore, the price variability is augmented by the spread of the pandemic itself. On the contrary, economic support policies have a substantial stabilizing effect on bond price fluctuations. Both phenomena are not subsumed by additional control variables and are robust to multiple considerations. Our findings may serve financial market participants in their risk management decisions, as well as policymakers to better shape their preparedness for future pandemics.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals
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