Trends and Variabilities of Thunderstorm Days over Bangladesh on the ENSO and IOD Timescales

Autor: Md Wahiduzzaman, Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam, Jing–Jia Luo, Shamsuddin Shahid, Md. Jalal Uddin, Sayed Majadin Shimul, Md Abdus Sattar
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: Atmosphere, Vol 11, Iss 11, p 1176 (2020)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2073-4433
DOI: 10.3390/atmos11111176
Popis: Thunderstorms (TS) are one of the most devastating atmospheric phenomena, which causes massive damage and adverse losses in various sectors, including agriculture and infrastructure. This study investigates the spatiotemporal variabilities of TS days over Bangladesh and their connection with El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). The TS, ENSO and IOD years’ data for 42 years (1975–2016) are used. The trend in TS days at the spatiotemporal scale is calculated using Mann Kendall and Spearman’s rho test. Results suggest that the trend in TS days is positive for all months except December and January. The significant trends are found for May and June, particularly in the northern and northeastern regions of Bangladesh. In the decadal scale, most of the regions show a significant upward trend in TS days. Results from the Weibull probability distribution model show the highest TS days in the northeastern region. The connection between TS days and ENSO/IOD indicates a decrease in TS activities in Bangladesh during the El Niño and positive IOD years.
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