Long-Term Trajectory Prediction for Oil Tankers via Grid-Based Clustering

Autor: Xuhang Xu, Chunshan Liu, Jianghui Li, Yongchun Miao, Lou Zhao
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, Vol 11, Iss 6, p 1211 (2023)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2077-1312
DOI: 10.3390/jmse11061211
Popis: Vessel trajectory prediction is an important step in route planning, which could help improve the efficiency of maritime transportation. In this article, a high-accuracy long-term trajectory prediction algorithm is proposed for oil tankers. The proposed algorithm extracts a set of waymark points that are representative of the key traveling patterns in an area of interest by applying DBSCAN clustering to historical AIS data. A novel path-finding algorithm is then developed to sequentially identify a subset of waymark points, from which the predicted trajectory to a fixed destination is produced. The proposed algorithm is tested using real data offered by the Danish Maritime Authority. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm outperforms state-of-the-art vessel trajectory prediction algorithms and is able to make high-accuracy long-term trajectory predictions.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals