PERAMALAN EKSPOR LUAR NEGERI BANTEN MENGGUNAKAN MODEL ARIMAX

Autor:	Saeful Hidayat, Nisrina Hakim
Jazyk:	English<br />Indonesian
Rok vydání:	2021
Předmět:	forecasting banten exports pmi ism arimax model peramalan ekspor banten peramalan ekspor banten pmi ism amerika serikat model arimax Mathematics QA1-939
Zdroj:	Jurnal Lebesgue, Vol 2, Iss 2, Pp 204-213 (2021)
Druh dokumentu:	article
ISSN:	2721-8929 2721-8937
DOI:	10.46306/lb.v2i2.75
Popis:	Forecasting Banten exports is one of the important elements for formulating economic growth targets in the development planning document prepared by the Banten Provincial Government. The purpose of this study is to forecast exports by utilizing export data from the BPS and the United States manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) which is derived from the Institute of Supply Management (ISM). The results showed that the ARIMAX model has a very good forecasting ability. This is indicated by the MAPE value which reached 8.84 percent. However, forecasting accuracy will decrease as the forecasting time span increases
Databáze:	Directory of Open Access Journals
Externí odkaz:	https://doaj.org/article/2cc60661319d44c3bb9e17b97ebc1c0c Zobrazit plný text záznamu View record in DOAJ