'Low-risk groups' deserve more attention than 'high-risk groups' in imported COVID-19 cases

Autor: Wanshan Zheng, Ying Tan, Zedi Zhao, Jin Chen, Xiaomei Dong, Xiongfei Chen
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: Frontiers in Medicine, Vol 10 (2023)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2296-858X
DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2023.1293747
Popis: ObjectiveTo estimate the optimal quarantine period for inbound travelers and identify key risk factors to provide scientific reference for emerging infectious diseases.MethodsA parametric survival analysis model was used to calculate the time interval between entry and first positive nucleic acid test of imported cases in Guangzhou, to identify the influencing factors. And the COVID-19 epidemic risk prediction model based on multiple risk factors among inbound travelers was constructed.ResultsThe approximate 95th percentile of the time interval was 14 days. Multivariate analysis found that the mean time interval for inbound travelers in entry/exit high-risk occupations was 29% shorter (OR 0.29, 95% CI 0.18–0.46, p
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals