Potential COVID-19 Outbreak in Fire Camp: Modeling Scenarios and Interventions

Autor: Matthew P Thompson, Jude Bayham, Erin Belval
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: Fire, Vol 3, Iss 3, p 38 (2020)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2571-6255
DOI: 10.3390/fire3030038
Popis: The global COVID-19 pandemic will pose unique challenges to the management of wildland fire in 2020. Fire camps may provide an ideal setting for the transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. However, intervention strategies can help minimize disease spread and reduce the risk to the firefighting community. We developed a COVID-19 epidemic model to highlight the risks posed by the disease during wildland fire incidents. Our model accounts for the transient nature of the population on a wildland fire incident, which poses unique risks to the management of communicable diseases in fire camps. We used the model to assess the impact of two types of interventions: the screening of a firefighter arriving on an incident, and social distancing measures. Our results suggest that both interventions are important to mitigate the risks posed by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. However, screening is relatively more effective on short incidents, whereas social distancing is relatively more effective during extended campaigns. We conclude with a discussion of model limitations and potential extensions to the model.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals