Empirical Model for Estimating the Ecological Footprint in Ecuador Based on Demographic, Economic and Environmental Indicators

Autor: Mercy Lucila Ilbay Yupa, Joseline Luisa Ruiz Depablos, Evelyn Gabriela Cueva Jaramillo, Vladimir Marconi Ortiz Bustamante, Diego Orlando Morales Alarco
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Ecological Engineering, Vol 22, Iss 5, Pp 59-67 (2021)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2299-8993
22998993
DOI: 10.12911/22998993/135868
Popis: In this study, the existence of long-term trends in ecological footprint (EF), biocapacity, GDP, population and CO2 emissions for the period of 1961-2016, and their effect on the demographic, economic and biocapacity indicators on Ecuador's EF were identified. The long-term trend analysis was performed by means of a Mann-Kendall, non-parametric test. The development of a multiple linear regression model of the EF considers the population, GDP, biocapacity and its logarithmic transformations as returners. A backward removal method was used, in conjunction with the Akaike criterion (AIC) to validate the most suitable model in terms of adjusted-R2, NSE, BIAS and RMSE, respectively. The results show significant changes (p
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals