Comparison of support vector machine and backpropagation models in forecasting the number of foreign tourists in Bali province

Autor: Imelda Alvionita Tarigan, I Putu Agung Bayupati, Gusti Agung Ayu Putri
Jazyk: English<br />Indonesian
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Komputer, Vol 9, Iss 2, Pp 90-95 (2021)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2338-0403
DOI: 10.14710/jtsiskom.2021.13847
Popis: Tourism in Bali is one of the major industries which play an important role in developing the global economy in Indonesia. Good forecasting of tourist arrival, especially from foreign countries, is needed to predict the number of tourists based on past information to minimize the prediction error rate. This study compares the performance of SVM and Backpropagation to find the model with the best prediction algorithm using data from foreign tourists in Bali Province. The results of this study recommend the best forecasting using the SVM model with the radial kernel function. The best accuracy of the SVM model obtained the lowest error values of MSE 0.0009, MAE 0.0186, and MAPE 0.0276, compared to Backpropagation which obtained MSE 0.0170, MAE 0.1066, and MAPE 0.1539.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals