A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave

Autor: J. Bracher, D. Wolffram, J. Deuschel, K. Görgen, J. L. Ketterer, A. Ullrich, S. Abbott, M. V. Barbarossa, D. Bertsimas, S. Bhatia, M. Bodych, N. I. Bosse, J. P. Burgard, L. Castro, G. Fairchild, J. Fuhrmann, S. Funk, K. Gogolewski, Q. Gu, S. Heyder, T. Hotz, Y. Kheifetz, H. Kirsten, T. Krueger, E. Krymova, M. L. Li, J. H. Meinke, I. J. Michaud, K. Niedzielewski, T. Ożański, F. Rakowski, M. Scholz, S. Soni, A. Srivastava, J. Zieliński, D. Zou, T. Gneiting, M. Schienle, List of Contributors by Team
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Nature Communications, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-16 (2021)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2041-1723
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-25207-0
Popis: Forecasting models have been used extensively to inform decision making during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this preregistered and prospective study, the authors evaluated 14 short-term models for Germany and Poland, finding considerable heterogeneity in predictions and highlighting the benefits of combined forecasts.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals