Trends in road transportation fuel consumption and carbon emissions: a scenario analysis using system dynamic modelling

Autor:	Sara Al-Osaimi, K. J. Sreekanth, Ruba Al-Foraih, Sara Al-Kandari
Jazyk:	angličtina
Rok vydání:	2020
Předmět:	fuel economy energy consumption emission reduction system dynamics time series forecasting Renewable energy sources TJ807-830
Zdroj:	International Journal of Sustainable Energy, Vol 39, Iss 4, Pp 349-361 (2020)
Druh dokumentu:	article
ISSN:	1478-6451 1478-646X 14786451
DOI:	10.1080/14786451.2019.1696343
Popis:	This paper analyses the fuel consumption and emissions in road transportation sector by using system dynamic modelling (SDM). The road transportation in the Middle East countries depends on private mode and hence emission and fuel consumption are higher. The objective of this study was to identify the existing transport demand and supply, on fuel and emissions by developing a system dynamic model, to predict fuel consumption requirements and emissions. A conditional analysis, by considering three common scenarios to enhance the mass mobility by confining the private transport mode revealed a consumption reduction of 70% of energy and 50% of emission levels. Therefore, the transport modal split of 70:30 can fetch substantially high outcome through reduction in fuel and energy consumption.
Databáze:	Directory of Open Access Journals
Externí odkaz:	https://doaj.org/article/23fa5868c7b84f78aca774519e187bec Zobrazit plný text záznamu View record in DOAJ Plný text ve formátu PDF Plný text ve formátu HTML
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