Predicted as observed? How to identify empirically adequate theoretical constructs

Autor: Erich H. Witte, Adrian Stanciu, Frank Zenker
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Frontiers in Psychology, Vol 13 (2022)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1664-1078
DOI: 10.3389/fpsyg.2022.980261
Popis: The identification of an empirically adequate theoretical construct requires determining whether a theoretically predicted effect is sufficiently similar to an observed effect. To this end, we propose a simple similarity measure, describe its application in different research designs, and use computer simulations to estimate the necessary sample size for a given observed effect. As our main example, we apply this measure to recent meta-analytical research on precognition. Results suggest that the evidential basis is too weak for a predicted precognition effect of d = 0.20 to be considered empirically adequate. As additional examples, we apply this measure to object-level experimental data from dissonance theory and a recent crowdsourcing hypothesis test, as well as to meta-analytical data on the correlation of personality traits and life outcomes.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals