Price Parities for Vegetables in Serbia - Analysis and Forecasting

Autor: Novković Nebojša, Drinić Ljiljana, Mihajlović Šumadinka, Vukelić Nataša, Ivanišević Dragan
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: Contemporary Agriculture, Vol 68, Iss 3-4, Pp 51-59 (2019)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2466-4774
03314448
DOI: 10.2478/contagri-2019-0009
Popis: The paper analyzes price parities of important vegetable crops in Serbia in relation to wheat, which has always been a point of reference in price formation of other agricultural products. The analysis was carried out by means of descriptive statistics for the period 1994-2017 for the following vegetable crops: potato, bean, tomato, pepper, onion and cabbage. The method used for forecasting of the price parities for the period 2018-2022 is time series analysis, i.e. ARIMA models. The research results showed that the price parities of bean, tomato and pepper will increase: from 9.1 to 12.3 for bean, from 1.9 to 3.5 for tomato and from 2.3 to 3 for pepper. The price parities for potato (1.4) and cabbage (1.4) will remain practically unchanged, while the price parity of onion will decrease to 1.5.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals