Effect of a resampling method on the effectiveness of multi-layer neural network models in PV power forecasting

Autor: Abderrahman Bensalem, Toual Belgacem, Abdellah Kouzou, Zakaria Belboul
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: EAI Endorsed Transactions on Energy Web, Vol 11 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2032-944X
DOI: 10.4108/ew.3705
Popis: The primary aim of this study was to explore the impact of employing the K-fold Cross Validation resampling method in contrast to the hold-out set validation approach on the efficacy of forecasting models utilizing Multi-layer Neural Networks (MNN) for predicting photovoltaic (PV) output power. Real data sourced from southern Algeria was utilized for this purpose. The performance of various configurations of MNN models, with differing learning rate values, was evaluated using the coefficient of variation of Root Mean Square Error (CV(RMSE)). The findings consistently demonstrate that models developed using K-fold Cross Validation exhibited superior performance across most scenarios. These results underscore the potential advantages of leveraging such resampling techniques in terms of both generalization and robustness of forecasting models.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals