Seismic hazard assessment for the Sofia area

Autor: L. Christoskov, S. Simeonova, D. Solakov
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2001
Předmět:
Zdroj: Annals of Geophysics, Vol 44, Iss 3 (2001)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1593-5213
2037-416X
DOI: 10.4401/ag-3574
Popis: The capital of Bulgaria, Sofia, is situated in the center of the so-called Sofia area. This is the most populated industrial and cultural region of Bulgaria that faces considerable earthquake risk. We apply a version of machine code EQRISK for hazard assessment of the Sofia area according to the Cornell-McGuire approach. The probabilistic seismic hazard analysis is based on a simplified seismogenic model, which is derived from seismic zoning of Bulgaria. We show, using a Monte Carlo approach, that uncertainties in seismic input have a relatively small effect on the PSHA output, especially when compared with uncertainties associated with the attenuation relationship. Our PSHA map shows that a 103 annual probability of the PGA exceeds 0.3 g in much of the Sofia area
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