Partial Autocorrelation Diagnostics for Count Time Series

Autor: Christian H. Weiß, Boris Aleksandrov, Maxime Faymonville, Carsten Jentsch
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: Entropy, Vol 25, Iss 1, p 105 (2023)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1099-4300
DOI: 10.3390/e25010105
Popis: In a time series context, the study of the partial autocorrelation function (PACF) is helpful for model identification. Especially in the case of autoregressive (AR) models, it is widely used for order selection. During the last decades, the use of AR-type count processes, i.e., which also fulfil the Yule–Walker equations and thus provide the same PACF characterization as AR models, increased a lot. This motivates the use of the PACF test also for such count processes. By computing the sample PACF based on the raw data or the Pearson residuals, respectively, findings are usually evaluated based on well-known asymptotic results. However, the conditions for these asymptotics are generally not fulfilled for AR-type count processes, which deteriorates the performance of the PACF test in such cases. Thus, we present different implementations of the PACF test for AR-type count processes, which rely on several bootstrap schemes for count times series. We compare them in simulations with the asymptotic results, and we illustrate them with an application to a real-world data example.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals
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