A predictive model combining clinical characteristics and nutritional risk factors for overall survival after umbilical cord blood transplantation

Autor: Meijuan Tu, Aijie Huang, Lijuan Ning, Baolin Tang, Chunli Zhang, Guangyu Sun, Xiang Wan, Kaidi Song, Wen Yao, Ping Qiang, Yue Wu, Xiaoyu Zhu
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: Stem Cell Research & Therapy, Vol 14, Iss 1, Pp 1-13 (2023)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1757-6512
DOI: 10.1186/s13287-023-03538-7
Popis: Abstract Background Umbilical cord blood transplantation (UCBT) is a curable therapy for hematological disease; however, the impact of nutritional status on UCBT outcomes remains controversial. To evaluate the joint effect of clinical characteristics and nutritional status on the prognosis of patients who underwent UCBT, we screened various factors to establish a predictive model of overall survival (OS) after UCBT. Methods We performed an integrated clinical characteristic and nutritional risk factor analysis and established a predictive model that could be used to identify UCBT recipients with poor OS. Internal validation was performed by using the bootstrap method with 500 repetitions. Results Four factors, including disease status, conditioning regimen, calf skinfold thickness and albumin level, were identified and used to develop a risk score for OS, which showed a positive predictive value of 84.0%. A high-risk score (≥ 2.225) was associated with inferior 3-year OS post-UCBT [67.5% (95% CI 51.1–79.4%), P = 0.001]. Then, we built a nomogram based on the four factors that showed good discrimination with a C-index of 0.833 (95% CI 0.743–0.922). The optimism-corrected C-index value of the bootstrapping was 0.804. Multivariate analysis suggested that a high calf skinfold thickness (≥ 20.5 mm) and a low albumin level (
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals
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