The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States

Autor: Hersh Shefrin
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: Frontiers in Psychology, Vol 11 (2020)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1664-1078
DOI: 10.3389/fpsyg.2020.590594
Popis: This paper discusses the impact of a series of psychological phenomena on the U.S. response to COVID-19, focusing on forecasts of cases and deaths. The specific phenomena comprise unrealistic optimism bias, overconfidence, anchoring and adjustment, representativeness, motivated reasoning, and groupthink.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals