Improved Quantile Convolutional and Recurrent Neural Networks for Electric Vehicle Battery Temperature Prediction

Autor: Andreas M. Billert, Runyao Yu, Stefan Erschen, Michael Frey, Frank Gauterin
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Big Data Mining and Analytics, Vol 7, Iss 2, Pp 512-530 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2096-0654
DOI: 10.26599/BDMA.2023.9020028
Popis: The battery thermal management of electric vehicles can be improved using neural networks predicting quantile sequences of the battery temperature. This work extends a method for the development of Quantile Convolutional and Quantile Recurrent Neural Networks (namely Q*NN). Fleet data of 225 629 drives are clustered and balanced, simulation data from 971 simulations are augmented before they are combined for training and testing. The Q*NN hyperparameters are optimized using an efficient Bayesian optimization, before the Q*NN models are compared with regression and quantile regression models for four horizons. The analysis of point-forecast and quantile-related metrics shows the superior performance of the novel Q*NN models. The median predictions of the best performing model achieve an average RMSE of 0.66°C and R2 of 0.84. The predicted 0.99 quantile covers 98.87% of the true values in the test data. In conclusion, this work proposes an extended development and comparison of Q*NN models for accurate battery temperature prediction.
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