A Mathematical Model for the COVID-19 Outbreak and Its Applications

Autor:	Roman Cherniha, Vasyl’ Davydovych
Jazyk:	angličtina
Rok vydání:	2020
Předmět:	nonlinear mathematical model modeling infectious diseases logistic equation integrability exact solution Mathematics QA1-939
Zdroj:	Symmetry, Vol 12, Iss 6, p 990 (2020)
Druh dokumentu:	article
ISSN:	2073-8994
DOI:	10.3390/sym12060990
Popis:	A mathematical model based on nonlinear ordinary differential equations is proposed for quantitative description of the outbreak of the novel coronavirus pandemic. The model possesses remarkable properties, such as as full integrability. The comparison with the public data shows that exact solutions of the model (with the correctly specified parameters) lead to the results, which are in good agreement with the measured data in China and Austria. Prediction of the total number of the COVID-19 cases is discussed and examples are presented using the measured data in Austria, France, and Poland. Some generalizations of the model are suggested as well.
Databáze:	Directory of Open Access Journals
Externí odkaz:	https://doaj.org/article/198ac5e349674525b73c8d6f0c604279 Zobrazit plný text záznamu View record in DOAJ Plný text ve formátu PDF Plný text ve formátu HTML
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