Fatigue Crack and Residual Life Prediction Based on an Adaptive Dynamic Bayesian Network

Autor: Shuai Chen, Yinwei Ma, Zhongshu Wang, Minjing Liu, Zhanjun Wu
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Applied Sciences, Vol 14, Iss 9, p 3808 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2076-3417
DOI: 10.3390/app14093808
Popis: Monitoring the health status of aerospace structures during their service lives is a critical endeavor, aimed at precisely evaluating their operational condition through observation data and physical modeling. This study proposes a probabilistic assessment approach utilizing Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs), enhanced by an improved adaptive particle filtering technique. This approach combines physical modeling with various predictive sources, encompassing cognitive uncertainties inherent in stochastic predictions and crack propagation forecasts. By employing crack observation data, it facilitates predictions of crack growth and the residual life of metal structure. To demonstrate the efficacy of this method, the research leverages data from three-point bending and single-edge tension fatigue tests. It gathers data on crack length during the fatigue crack progression, integrating these findings with digital twin theory to forecast the residual fatigue life of the specimens. The outcomes show that the adaptive DBN model can precisely predict fatigue crack propagation in test specimens, offering a potential tool for the online health assessment and life evaluation for aerospace structures.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals