An advanced method for flood risk analysis in river deltas, applied to societal flood fatality risk in the Netherlands

Autor: K. M. de Bruijn, F. L. M. Diermanse, J. V. L. Beckers
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2014
Předmět:
Zdroj: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol 14, Iss 10, Pp 2767-2781 (2014)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1561-8633
1684-9981
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-14-2767-2014
Popis: This paper discusses a new method for flood risk assessment in river deltas. Flood risk analysis of river deltas is complex, because both storm surges and river discharges may cause flooding and the effect of upstream breaches on downstream water levels and flood risk must be taken into account. This paper presents a Monte Carlo-based flood risk analysis framework for policy making, which considers both storm surges and river flood waves and includes effects from hydrodynamic interaction on flood risk. It was applied to analyse societal flood fatality risk in the Rhine–Meuse delta.
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