A new measure of the non-inflationary rate of capacity utilisation for the brazilian economy

Autor: Itaiguara de Oliveira Bezerra, Marco Malgarini
Jazyk: portugalština
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
Zdroj: Economia Aplicada, Vol 20, Iss 4 (2016)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1413-8050
1980-5330
DOI: 10.11606/1413-8050/ea147737
Popis: The aim of the paper is to derive a non-inflationary rate of capacity utilisation (NIRCU) for the Brazilian economy using firm level data stemming from the IBRE/FGV survey on the manufacturing sector. In doing so, we condition the current capacity utilisation rate at the firm level on expected price changes; moreover, we also condition on the information regarding the number of shifts worked, also provided at the firm level, considered as a possible proxy of the investment gap. The NIRCU is found to perform well as an indicator of inflationary pressures in a standard Phillips-curve framework; results shows that even during the crisis the Brazilian NIRCU lies below the current level of capacity, signalling the persistence of Brazilian inflationary tensions
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals