| Popis: |
One of the main approaches to improve wind power prediction accuracy is to decompose wind-speed into different frequency-band components and use them as inputs of prediction model. Among the decomposition methods, wavelet transform is widely used due to its flexibility. However, the decomposition level and wavelet function need to be selected through trail-and-error, which is also called empirical decomposition method, because the effectiveness of a certain selection depends on the characteristic of wind farm and the prediction model. Therefore, it is difficult to find a general decomposition method that can be effective on different prediction models and wind farms. Aiming at this problem, a novel multi-step cross-decomposition method is proposed in this paper. The proposed method decomposes the wind-speed and power alternatively in each step, and after three steps of decomposition, the wind-speed can be decomposed to four different frequency-band components which will be used as the input of the prediction model. The prediction errors of proposed method and several empirical decomposition methods are compared on BPNN and SVM models. The results show that the proposed method is the only effective method on two prediction models for four wind farms. |
