Decreased human respiratory syncytial virus activity during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan: an ecological time-series analysis

Autor: Keita Wagatsuma, Iain S. Koolhof, Yugo Shobugawa, Reiko Saito
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: BMC Infectious Diseases, Vol 21, Iss 1, Pp 1-13 (2021)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1471-2334
DOI: 10.1186/s12879-021-06461-5
Popis: Abstract Background Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as sanitary measures and travel restrictions, aimed at controlling the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), may affect the transmission dynamics of human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV). We aimed to quantify the contribution of the sales of hand hygiene products and the number of international and domestic airline passenger arrivals on HRSV epidemic in Japan. Methods The monthly number of HRSV cases per sentinel site (HRSV activity) in 2020 was compared with the average of the corresponding period in the previous 6 years (from January 2014 to December 2020) using a monthly paired t-test. A generalized linear gamma regression model was used to regress the time-series of the monthly HRSV activity against NPI indicators, including sale of hand hygiene products and the number of domestic and international airline passengers, while controlling for meteorological conditions (monthly average temperature and relative humidity) and seasonal variations between years (2014–2020). Results The average number of monthly HRSV case notifications in 2020 decreased by approximately 85% (p
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