Numerical Weather Prediction of Sea Surface Temperature in South China Sea Using Attention-Based Context Fusion Network

Autor: Hailun He, Benyun Shi, Yuting Zhu, Liu Feng, Conghui Ge, Qi Tan, Yue Peng, Yang Liu, Zheng Ling, Shuang Li
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Remote Sensing, Vol 16, Iss 20, p 3793 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2072-4292
DOI: 10.3390/rs16203793
Popis: Numerical weather prediction of sea surface temperature (SST) is crucial for regional operational forecasts. Deep learning offers an alternative approach to traditional numerical general circulation models for numerical weather prediction. In our previous work, we developed a sophisticated deep learning model known as the Attention-based Context Fusion Network (ACFN). This model integrates an attention mechanism with a convolutional neural network framework. In this study, we applied the ACFN model to the South China Sea to evaluate its performance in predicting SST. The results indicate that for a 1-day lead time, the ACFN model achieves a Mean Absolute Error of 0.215 °C and a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.972. In addition, in situ buoy data were utilized to validate the forecast results. The Mean Absolute Error for forecasts using these data increased to 0.500 °C for a 1-day lead time, with a corresponding R2 of 0.590. Comparative analyses show that the ACFN model surpasses traditional models such as ConvLSTM and PredRNN in terms of accuracy and reliability.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals
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