| Autor: |
Nikolay Fedorov, Albert Muldashev, Oksana Mikhaylenko, Svetlana Zhigunova, Elvira Baisheva, Pavel Shirokikh, Ilnur Bikbaev, Vasiliy Martynenko |
| Jazyk: |
angličtina |
| Rok vydání: |
2024 |
| Předmět: |
|
| Zdroj: |
Plants, Vol 13, Iss 11, p 1563 (2024) |
| Druh dokumentu: |
article |
| ISSN: |
2223-7747 |
| DOI: |
10.3390/plants13111563 |
| Popis: |
An analysis of the current potential range of the Pleistocene relict plant species Schoenus ferrugineus and modeling of changes in its future range under moderate (RCP4.5) and strong (RCP8.5) climate change in the middle and second half of the 21st century were carried out. The MaxEnt program was used for modeling. Climate variables from CHELSA Bioclim, the global digital soil mapping system SoilGrids, and a digital elevation model were used as predictors. Modeling has shown that climate change will lead to a significant reduction in the suitability of S. ferrugineus habitat conditions by the mid-21st century. The predicted changes in the distribution of habitats of S. ferrugineus, a diagnostic species of calcareous mires and an indicator of their ecological state, indicate a possible strong transformation of wetland complexes in the Southern Urals region even under moderate climate change. A reduction in the distribution of S. ferrugineus at the eastern limit of its range will also be facilitated by more frequent extreme droughts. To maintain the distribution of S. ferrugineus on the eastern border of its range, a number of measures are proposed to mitigate the negative consequences of climate change, contributing to the preservation of the hydrological regime of calcareous mires. |
| Databáze: |
Directory of Open Access Journals |
| Externí odkaz: |
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