| Autor: |
Avishek Adhikary, Avijit Pal |
| Jazyk: |
angličtina |
| Rok vydání: |
2022 |
| Předmět: |
|
| Zdroj: |
Alexandria Engineering Journal, Vol 61, Iss 2, Pp 1403-1412 (2022) |
| Druh dokumentu: |
article |
| ISSN: |
1110-0168 |
| DOI: |
10.1016/j.aej.2021.06.027 |
| Popis: |
Dynamics of COVID-19 outbreak in India are different from other countries for her huge population and different administrative approaches. This paper presents a six compartments (SHIQRD) model with different time delays between them, to analyse and forecast the COVID-19 pandemic in India. The model introduces separate compartments for ‘home-quarantined’, ‘quarantined infectious’, and ‘undetected infectious’ pertaining to the Indian scenario. It also incorporates incubation time, sample testing time, and recovery window as time delays between blocks. With the proposed model, reproduction number of different phases during lock-down are evaluated. Besides, dynamics of pandemic for the next one year are also explored. |
| Databáze: |
Directory of Open Access Journals |
| Externí odkaz: |
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