Conformal Prediction via Regression-as-Classification

Autor: Guha, Etash, Natarajan, Shlok, Möllenhoff, Thomas, Khan, Mohammad Emtiyaz, Ndiaye, Eugene
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: International Conference of Learning Representations 2024
Druh dokumentu: Working Paper
Popis: Conformal prediction (CP) for regression can be challenging, especially when the output distribution is heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed. Some of the issues can be addressed by estimating a distribution over the output, but in reality, such approaches can be sensitive to estimation error and yield unstable intervals.~Here, we circumvent the challenges by converting regression to a classification problem and then use CP for classification to obtain CP sets for regression.~To preserve the ordering of the continuous-output space, we design a new loss function and make necessary modifications to the CP classification techniques.~Empirical results on many benchmarks shows that this simple approach gives surprisingly good results on many practical problems.
Comment: International Conference of Learning Representations 2024
Databáze: arXiv